Credibility is multi-layered — so is our analysis
An MLA or MP’s standing is not a single popularity number. It is shaped by national party decisions, state and CM performance, scheme delivery on the ground, manifesto promises, local leaders, public mood and opposition activity. TSiMP measures all of it — at the aggregate level.
Seven layers that shape a leader’s credibility
Good national or state decisions transfer positive impact to the local leader; delays, failures and local leakage transfer negative impact — even when the leader personally performs well.
National Party Impact
National party decisions and central government performance create indirect positive or negative impact on the local leader — even when the MLA/MP personally performs well.
- Central party decisions & national leadership statements
- Union government schemes & Parliament decisions
- National manifesto promises and how they land
- National anti- or pro-incumbency and media perception
State Government & Chief Minister Impact
For ruling-party leaders, CM and state-government performance transfers directly to MLA credibility — popular decisions lift it, delays and failures pull it down.
- CM announcements, cabinet & budget decisions
- Scheme launches, delays and partial implementation
- Public grievance programs and farmer/employment decisions
- Welfare, pension, infrastructure, health, education & housing delivery
Scheme Delivery & Local Leakage
Even well-implemented state schemes can fail locally. When benefits do not reach eligible people on the ground, the local leader carries a governance penalty.
- Eligible beneficiaries not receiving benefits
- Local favouritism, middlemen and application delays
- Pension, housing, ration and scholarship delivery gaps
- Farmer loan-waiver and reimbursement issues
Manifesto Promise Tracking
Every manifesto promise is tracked by status, responsible authority and public visibility — turning promises into measurable, sourced delivery signals.
- Promise status: announced → partial → implemented / delayed / failed
- Responsible authority (national / state / district / constituency)
- Public visibility & beneficiary satisfaction
- Opposition criticism and media evidence
Public Demand & Social Groups
Public mood is read by group — farmers, youth, women, employees, students, seniors, welfare beneficiaries and community segments — never by individual.
- Which groups are satisfied, neutral, hopeful or dissatisfied
- Farmer, youth & employment, and women-welfare sentiment
- Welfare and pension beneficiary sentiment
- Community-segment balance (aggregate only)
Local Leadership Influence
Sarpanches, mandal and ward leaders, conveners and coordinators can strengthen — or quietly damage — the main leader’s image.
- Which local leaders support vs. damage the leader’s image
- Scheme-diversion and beneficiary-blocking complaints
- Groupism and drift toward the opposition
- Local control strength and influence
Opposition & Aspirant Movement
Opposition activity and rising aspirants — including within the ruling party — shift the narrative before incumbents respond.
- Opposition events, village visits and issue ownership
- Public social-media narrative and local press coverage
- New aspirant entry and ticket-seeking activity
- Internal rebellion and former-leader activity
A credibility score built from 17 dimensions
Each dimension is scored 0–100 with a trend (improving / stable / declining), an evidence level, the sources used, key risks and corrective actions. Together they form one transparent credibility index — not a black-box number.
Personal Leadership
Visibility, conduct and public connect of the leader.
Constituency Development
Visible development and infrastructure delivery.
Scheme Delivery
Whether schemes reach eligible people on the ground.
Manifesto Alignment
Delivery against promised manifesto commitments.
Public Accessibility
How reachable and responsive the leader is.
Local Leader Damagerisk
Damage to the leader’s image from local leaders.
Corruption / Leakage Riskrisk
Local leakage and benefit-diversion risk.
State Government Transfer
Net transfer from CM / state-government performance.
National Party Transfer
Net transfer from national party / central decisions.
Opposition Pressurerisk
Pressure from opposition and aspirant activity.
Media Sentiment
Aggregate perception in public news media.
Social Media Sentiment
Aggregate perception across public social platforms.
Caste / Community Balance
Aggregate balance of community-segment sentiment.
Youth & Employment Sentiment
Youth and jobs-related public mood.
Farmer Sentiment
Aggregate farmer and agriculture mood.
Women Welfare Sentiment
Women-focused welfare and safety sentiment.
90-Day Recoverability
How much standing can realistically be recovered in 90 days.
Every signal carries an evidence grade
Allegations are never presented as fact. Each item is graded and shown with its source and date.
Verified
Confirmed against official records or multiple credible sources.
Reported
Reported by a credible public source; corroboration in progress.
Unverified
Single/weak source — clearly marked, never asserted as fact.
Disputed
Contested by sources — shown with both sides, never asserted.
From scattered feedback to clear answers
Is the leader connecting with people?
Are manifesto promises reaching the public?
Are schemes creating visible impact?
Are local leaders helping or damaging the leader?
Which villages are satisfied?
Which villages are dissatisfied?
Where is public anger growing?
Where is opposition gaining ground?
Which issues are affecting the MLA or MP image?
What correction is needed before political damage becomes serious?
Aggregate by design
TSiMP turns public mood and governance delivery into measurable, aggregate indicators — at constituency, mandal, village, booth-cluster, community-segment and age-group level. It does not profile, score, or target individual voters, and never uses caste or religion to target individuals. Findings are backed by public source references and clear evidence grading.
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